New Insight

Insights from the International Monetary Fund (IMF)

The following key data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) provides a comprehensive overview of Iran's economic performance and outlook, shedding light on its growth prospects, diversification efforts, and ongoing challenges in recent years:

• GDP Growth Forecast: The IMF ⁽³⁾ projects Iran's GDP to grow by 3.1% in 2025.
• Economic Diversification: Non-oil exports account for just 11% of Iran's GDP, below the average of 24.2% in upper-middle-income countries ⁽⁴⁾.
• Trade Relationships: 37% of Iran’s non-oil exports go to China, reflecting a concentrated trade partnership ⁽⁴⁾.
• Energy Subsidies: In 2022, Iran’s energy subsidies amounted to $163 billion, representing 27% of its GDP ⁽⁵⁾.
• Financial Sector Sanctions: Despite partial sanctions relief, Iran’s financial system faces significant restrictions, limiting its global banking relations.

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